Today's matchup
Today it's St. Louis Cardinals for Edouard, away. He shows up on 12 boards — walks (43.8/100, #123), runs (29.1/100, #206), singles (29.1/100, #233), doubles (26.7/100, #241). We've got him at 0.4 on the walks board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
He's in a cold stretch
Edouard is 2-for-28 (.071) across his last 10 games, down from .196 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 28 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
What kind of hitter he is
Edouard strikes out a lot — 56 strikeouts in 189 at-bats, roughly 30%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 3 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.
He's a left-handed bat
Edouard hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Edouard has recorded at least one hit in 26 of 66 games he's batted in — 39% — with 9 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Edouard is hitting .193 at home (22-for-114) and .200 on the road (15-for-75) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
How our calls on Edouard have graded
In the 13 games where we ranked Edouard a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 6 times — 46%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Edouard was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 43.8/100 while rbis came in at 0.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Edouard's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.