MatchWiz

Jared Triolo

Jared Triolo — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: singles at 36.1/100.

Today's top board
36.1
Singles · @ LAD
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
90
this season, box-score final
Jared Triolo
SSBats RThrows RPittsburgh Pirates
Singles36.1/100proj 0.6#57Stolen Bases32.2/100proj 0.1#26Walks31.4/100proj 0.3#71Hits30.3/100proj 0.9#73Doubles23.5/100proj 0.2#70H+R+RBI14.9/100proj 1.5#88Fantasy Points14/100proj 5.5#86Runs11/100proj 0.4#89Total Bases7/100proj 1.2#90RBIs6.5/100proj 0.4#88Triples4.7/100proj 0#71Home Runs2.4/100proj 0.1#86

Today's matchup

Jared is on the road against Los Angeles Dodgers on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — singles (36.1/100, #57), stolen bases (32.2/100, #26), walks (31.4/100, #71), hits (30.3/100, #73). We've got him at 0.6 on the singles board. The model doesn't love the spot — the numbers are below. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Jared is 6-for-33 (.182) over his last 10 games, in line with his .227 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He's a right-handed bat

Jared hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jared has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 83 games he's batted in — 53% — with 11 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Jared is hitting .228 at home (29-for-127) and .227 on the road (29-for-128) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Jared's biggest night was Thursday, August 13, 2026 at MIA — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Jared a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 90 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Jared was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 36.1/100 while home runs came in at 2.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Jared and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Jared specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22@ LAD31000
Friday, August 21@ LAD30000
Wednesday, August 19vs DET30000
Tuesday, August 18vs DET31010
Monday, August 17vs DET30000
Sunday, August 16vs BOS51010
Saturday, August 15vs BOS30000
Friday, August 14vs BOS30000
Thursday, August 13@ MIA43133
Sunday, August 9vs NYM30000
Saturday, August 8vs NYM00000
Friday, August 7vs NYM32001

Jared Triolo — FAQ

Who is Jared Triolo facing today?

Jared Triolo is facing Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 36.1/100 on our singles board, ranked #57.

What is Jared Triolo's projection today?

We project Jared for 0.6 on the singles board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Jared Triolo been hitting lately?

Jared is 6-for-33 (.182) over his last 10 games, against .227 on the season across 255 at-bats in our log, with 2 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jared Triolo appear on?

Jared was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, stolen bases, walks, hits, doubles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jared Triolo's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).