Best MLB Singles Matchups — Thursday, September 24, 2026
Top singles spot: Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Matthew Boyd. The righty is lining singles at .221 1B/PA against lefties this year — and .400 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 19% of his trips. And Matthew Boyd has been getting picked apart by lefties lately — .170 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Matthew Boyd. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (98) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: an excellent bat at .188 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.219).
- Luis Arraez (PHI) (92) vs RHP Bryse Wilson: an excellent bat at .181 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (91) vs LHP Eduardo Rodriguez: an excellent bat at .178 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.182).
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (91) vs RHP Brady Singer: an excellent bat at .179 into an arm around league average against the same side (.145).
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (90) vs RHP Randy Dobnak: a strong bat at .170 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.178).
- Sal Stewart (CIN) (90) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: an excellent bat at .172 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.259).
- Lars Nootbaar (AZ) (85) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .153 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.333).
Platoon edges to target
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .221 against lefties this year.
- Luis Arraez (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .213 against righties this year.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .188 against righties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year.
- Lars Nootbaar (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .141 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Mauricio Dubón (ATL), Trea Turner (PHI), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Dominic Canzone (SEA), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). Cold but due to bounce back: Dustin Harris (SD), Rafael Flores Jr. (PIT), Corey Seager (TEX), Bryce Harper (PHI), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
Lineup watch
216 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.