Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)?

Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Peter Lambert. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 17, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Paul Goldschmidt (97), Tommy Edman (93), Liam Hicks (93), Alec Burleson (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 17, 2026?

Yes — Dillon Dingler got 1 total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year. Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year. James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Andrew Painter has been getting squared up by righties — .486 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA). RHP Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Riley Greene (DET). RHP Aaron Civale has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT). RHP Kyle Bradish has been getting squared up by righties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dominic Canzone (SEA), J.P. Crawford (SEA), and Colt Emerson (SEA).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, June 17, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on our total-bases over/under, against 52% on the season.

Top 5

1/520%

season 52%

Top 10

3/933%

season 52%

Full slate

138/24357%

season 51%

Top call Paul Goldschmidt came through. Dillon Dingler didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 9–1

NYMaway

CINhomeTop matchup75 Final · 6–2

KCaway

WSHhomeTop matchup88 Final · 12–4

MIAaway

PHIhomeTop matchup93 Final · 2–4

DETaway

HOUhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–1

SDaway

STLhomeTop matchup91 Final · 4–5

TBaway

LADhomeTop matchup93 Final · 1–8

LAAaway

AZhomeTop matchup68 Final · 3–0

TORaway

BOShomeTop matchup78 Final · 5–10

CWSaway

NYYhomeTop matchup97 Final · 7–5

SFaway

ATLhomeTop matchup86 Final · 4–9

CLEaway

MILhomeTop matchup88 Final · 6–8

COLaway

CHChomeTop matchup73 Final · 5–3

BALaway

SEAhomeTop matchup91 Final · 12–4

PITaway

ATHhomeTop matchup88

Not starting61 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 313 shownScore

180 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@PHI· 4-for-5
11TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
2
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COL@CHC· 3-for-4
10TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
3
Carter JensenC
KC@WSH· 4-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T3
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@NYY· 2-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #103
5
Ryan O'HearnRF
PIT@ATH· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T5
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsCWS· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T5
John RaveRF
KC@WSH· 2-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
8
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@STL· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #97
9
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsCWS· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #2
T9
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsBAL· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #6
T9
Zach NetoSS
LAA@AZ· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #53
T9
Luis Arraez2B
SF@ATL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #80
T9
Christian YelichDH
MILvsCLE· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #82
T9
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsDET· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #86
T9
Joe MackC
MIA@PHI· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T9
Marcell OzunaDH
PIT@ATH· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #145
T9
Esteury RuizRF
MIA@PHI· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T9
Kyle Karros3B
COL@CHC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
19
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsCLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #7
T19
Hunter GoodmanC
COL@CHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #16
T19
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@ATH· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #18
T19
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsCOL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #24
T19
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSF· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #25
T19
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@ATL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #30
T19
Michael Massey2B
KC@WSH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #35
T19
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@STL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #39
T19
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsLAA· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #42
T19
Juan SotoLF
NYM@CIN· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #47
T19
Rafael Devers1B
SF@ATL· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #95
T19
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@SEA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #99
T19
Cole Young2B
SEAvsBAL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #105
T19
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsMIA· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T19
Lane ThomasLF
KC@WSH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T19
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@PHI· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T19
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T19
Matt ShawRF
CHCvsCOL· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T19
Daniel SchneemannCF
CLE@MIL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T19
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsPIT· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T19
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsTB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T19
Willy AdamesSS
SF@ATL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T19
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@HOU· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T19
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@HOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T19
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@PHI· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T19
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsCOL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #188
T19
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@SEA· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #202
T19
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsLAA· 3-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T19
Tommy TroyLF
AZvsLAA· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #220
T19
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsPIT· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #232
T19
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@NYY· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #252
50
Carson BengeRF
NYM@CIN· 1-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #15
T50
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsSF· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #32
T50
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@CIN· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #44
T50
Andy PagesCF
LADvsTB· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T50
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@NYY· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T50
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@ATH· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T50
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsCOL· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #75
T50
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsLAA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #84
T50
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsSF· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #85
T50
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsTOR· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #88
T50
Carson KellyC
CHCvsCOL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T50
Ian HappLF
CHCvsCOL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T50
Francisco AlvarezC
NYM@CIN· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T50
Blaze Alexander3B
BAL@SEA· 3-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T50
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsDET· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T50
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@SEA· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #187
T50
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsCLE· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T50
Anthony VolpeSS
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T50
Edgar QueroC
CWS@NYY· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T50
Jordan LawlarLF
AZvsLAA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #248
70
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSF· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #13
T70
Yandy DíazDH
TB@LAD· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #26
T70
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsDET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #27
T70
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsDET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T70
CJ AbramsSS
WSHvsKC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #37
T70
Travis Bazzana2B
CLE@MIL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #46
T70
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@LAD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T70
Brice Turang2B
MILvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T70
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T70
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TOR@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T70
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsDET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #90
T70
Manny Machado3B
SD@STL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #96
T70
Amed Rosario3B
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #101
T70
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T70
Samuel BasalloC
BAL@SEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T70
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@NYY· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T70
Casey SchmittLF
SF@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T70
Marcus Semien2B
NYM@CIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T70
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T70
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #154
T70
Cooper PrattSS
MILvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T70
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsPIT· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T70
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsBAL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T70
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CINvsNYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T70
Rodolfo DuránC
SD@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T70
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@STL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T70
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@AZ· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T70
Jesús SánchezRF
TOR@BOS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T70
Noelvi MarteRF
CINvsNYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #189
T70
Ali SánchezC
NYYvsCWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #195
T70
Henry DavisC
PIT@ATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #199
T70
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsNYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T70
Dalton RushingC
LADvsTB· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T70
Logan PorterC
LAA@AZ· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #209
T70
Myles StrawCF
TOR@BOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #211
T70
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@CIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T70
Hunter FeducciaC
TB@LAD· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T70
Davis SchneiderLF
TOR@BOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #231
T70
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@ATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #233
T70
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSHvsKC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #238
T70
Andrés GiménezSS
TOR@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #241
T70
Joey LoperfidoLF
HOUvsDET· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #245
T70
Matt McLain2B
CINvsNYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #249
T70
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsCLE· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
114
Dillon DinglerC
DET@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #1
T114
Liam HicksC
MIA@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #4
T114
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #5
T114
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@ATH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #9
T114
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsSF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #10
T114
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #12
T114
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #14
T114
Samad TaylorLF
SD@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #17
T114
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #20
T114
Randal GrichukDH
CWS@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #23
T114
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsTOR· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #36
T114
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #40
T114
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsCOL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #41
T114
Jake McCarthyLF
COL@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #43
T114
Junior Caminero3B
TB@LAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #45
T114
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #49
T114
Eli WhiteRF
ATLvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #50
T114
Iván HerreraDH
STLvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #51
T114
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #58
T114
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsMIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T114
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsCOL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T114
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T114
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #71
T114
Tyler FreemanRF
COL@CHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T114
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #81
T114
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@PHI· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #87
T114
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KC@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #89
T114
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@LAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #92
T114
Miguel Rojas2B
LADvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T114
JJ Wetherholt2B
STLvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #94
T114
Oswald Peraza2B
LAA@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #98
T114
Taylor WardDH
BAL@SEA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #100
T114
Jake MangumCF
PIT@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T114
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T114
William ContrerasC
MILvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T114
Mike TroutCF
LAA@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T114
Keibert RuizC
WSHvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T114
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T114
Mark Vientos1B
NYM@CIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T114
Lars NootbaarLF
STLvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T114
Jacob WilsonSS
ATHvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #140
T114
Alex CallLF
LADvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T114
Masyn WinnSS
STLvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T114
Will WagnerDH
SD@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T114
Richie Palacios2B
TB@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T114
José CaballeroSS
NYYvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T114
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T114
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOSvsTOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T114
José TenaDH
WSHvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #178
T114
Nathan ChurchCF
STLvsSD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #185
T114
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #193
T114
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #194
T114
Eric HaaseC
SF@ATL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #204
T114
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOSvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T114
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #207
T114
Salvador PerezDH
KC@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T114
Luis TorrensC
NYM@CIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #214
T114
Alex Freeland2B
LADvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T114
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsTOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T114
David Hamilton3B
MILvsCLE· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T114
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@WSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T114
Connor JoeRF
SEAvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #234
T114
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #235
T114
Miles Mastrobuoni3B
SEAvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #239
T114
Christian VázquezC
HOUvsDET· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #246
T114
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #250
T114
Nathan LukesRF
TOR@BOS· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Dillon Dingler (DET) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, June 17, 2026 board at 100, with Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) and Tommy Edman (LAD) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler

Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Peter Lambert. The righty is racking up bases at .511 TB/PA against righties this year — and .821 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 51% of his trips. And Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties lately — .588 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Peter Lambert. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (97) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an excellent bat at .507 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.429), hot bat.
Tommy Edman (LAD) (93) vs LHP Shane McClanahan: a strong bat at .478 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.433).
Liam Hicks (MIA) (93) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .425 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.745), hot bat.
Alec Burleson (STL) (91) vs RHP Bradgley Rodriguez: an excellent bat at .546 into an arm tough on the same side (.167), hot bat.
Dominic Canzone (SEA) (91) vs RHP Kyle Bradish: an excellent bat at .524 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.632), hot bat.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) (88) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .482 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
James Wood (WSH) (88) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Andrew Painter has been getting squared up by righties — .486 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA).
RHP Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
RHP Aaron Civale has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
RHP Kyle Bradish has been getting squared up by righties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dominic Canzone (SEA), J.P. Crawford (SEA), and Colt Emerson (SEA).

Platoon edges to target

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year.
Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year.
Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year.
James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Dillon Dingler finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)?: Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Peter Lambert. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 17, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Paul Goldschmidt (97), Tommy Edman (93), Liam Hicks (93), Alec Burleson (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 17, 2026?: Yes — Dillon Dingler got 1 total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year. Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year. James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Andrew Painter has been getting squared up by righties — .486 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA). RHP Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Riley Greene (DET). RHP Aaron Civale has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT). RHP Kyle Bradish has been getting squared up by righties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dominic Canzone (SEA), J.P. Crawford (SEA), and Colt Emerson (SEA).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.