Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Peter Lambert. The righty is racking up bases at .511 TB/PA against righties this year — and .821 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 51% of his trips. And Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties lately — .588 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Peter Lambert. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (97) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an excellent bat at .507 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.429), hot bat.
- Tommy Edman (LAD) (93) vs LHP Shane McClanahan: a strong bat at .478 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.433).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (93) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .425 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.745), hot bat.
- Alec Burleson (STL) (91) vs RHP Bradgley Rodriguez: an excellent bat at .546 into an arm tough on the same side (.167), hot bat.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (91) vs RHP Kyle Bradish: an excellent bat at .524 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.632), hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (88) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .482 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
- James Wood (WSH) (88) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Andrew Painter has been getting squared up by righties — .486 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
- RHP Aaron Civale has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
- RHP Kyle Bradish has been getting squared up by righties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dominic Canzone (SEA), J.P. Crawford (SEA), and Colt Emerson (SEA).
Platoon edges to target
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Dillon Dingler finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.