Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, June 30, 2026)?

Kyle Stowers (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, June 30, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, June 30, 2026: Kyle Stowers (100), Luis Arraez (100), Liam Hicks (100), Andy Pages (97), Rafael Devers (93). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, June 30, 2026?

Yes — Kyle Stowers got 6 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .381 against righties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .406 against righties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .449 against righties this year. Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .430 against lefties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .483 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Tanner Gordon has been getting squared up by righties — .517 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA). LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .484 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL). RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting squared up by righties — .469 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM). LHP Tarik Skubal has been getting squared up by lefties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Amed Rosario (NYY), and Jasson Domínguez (NYY).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, June 30, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 5/5 (100%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

5/5100%

season 50%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 49%

Full slate

139/26353%

season 51%

Top call Kyle Stowers came through. Paul Goldschmidt didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 9–3

CWSaway

BALhomeTop matchup56 Final · 4–2

TEXaway

CLEhomeTop matchup66 Final · 0–8

PITaway

PHIhomeTop matchup70 Final · 9–3

DETaway

NYYhomeTop matchup88 Final · 3–0

NYMaway

TORhomeTop matchup74 Final · 8–1

WSHaway

BOShomeTop matchup63 Final · 5–3

STLaway

ATLhomeTop matchup83 Final · 2–7

CINaway

MILhomeTop matchup57 Final · 10–4

TBaway

KChomeTop matchup69 Final · 7–9

SDaway

CHChomeTop matchup53 Final · 4–6

MINaway

HOUhomeTop matchup73 Final · 14–3

MIAaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–8

LAAaway

SEAhomeTop matchup81 Final · 2–8

SFaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 9–3

LADaway

ATHhomeTop matchup97

Not starting69 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 339 shownScore

171 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsTB· 3-for-4
9TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T1
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsSD· 3-for-4
9TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #173
3
Luis Arraez2B
SF@AZ· 3-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #2
T3
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@CHC· 2-for-5
8TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T3
Riley GreeneLF
DET@NYY· 2-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #153
6
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@ATH· 4-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #68
7
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@COL· 3-for-6
6TBFinal
Proj 2.2 TB, #1
T7
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsMIN· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #92
T7
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
AZvsSF· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #114
T7
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@COL· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T7
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@MIL· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T7
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsCIN· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #140
14
Griffin ConineRF
MIA@COL· 4-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #11
T14
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@COL· 4-for-6
5TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #14
T14
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsSF· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T14
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #50
T14
Manny Machado3B
SD@CHC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T14
Junior Caminero3B
TB@KC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #87
T14
Josh Jung3B
TEX@CLE· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #89
T14
Nelson VelázquezLF
STL@ATL· 2-for-2
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T14
Colby ThomasRF
ATHvsLAD· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T14
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@NYY· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T14
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWS@BAL· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
25
Rafael Devers1B
SF@AZ· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #5
T25
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #16
T25
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@ATH· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T25
Carter JensenC
KCvsTB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #23
T25
Joe MackC
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #48
T25
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@ATH· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #58
T25
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@CLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #75
T25
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsSD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #88
T25
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@NYY· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #96
T25
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #97
T25
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsSD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T25
Francisco AlvarezC
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T25
James WoodRF
WSH@BOS· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T25
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsMIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #115
T25
Ryan ViladeRF
TB@KC· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T25
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@BAL· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #155
T25
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@BOS· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T25
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@BAL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T25
Luis TorrensC
NYM@TOR· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #178
T25
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsCIN· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T25
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsDET· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T25
Leo Jiménez3B
MIA@COL· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #206
T25
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsSD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #209
T25
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsPIT· 3-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T25
Junior PerezCF
CWS@BAL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T25
James OutmanCF
DET@NYY· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T25
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@ATL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
52
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@ATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #25
T52
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsLAA· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #45
T52
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsCWS· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #73
T52
Dillon DinglerC
DET@NYY· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #79
T52
Colt EmersonSS
SEAvsLAA· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #120
T52
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsLAA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T52
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@MIL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #144
T52
Max KeplerLF
AZvsSF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #248
T52
Keibert RuizC
WSH@BOS· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
61
Liam HicksC
MIA@COL· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 2.2 TB, #3
T61
Andy PagesCF
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #4
T61
Josh Naylor1B
SEAvsLAA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #13
T61
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #27
T61
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T61
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsDET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #37
T61
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@HOU· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #40
T61
Josh BellDH
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #47
T61
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T61
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@KC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T61
Samad TaylorLF
SD@CHC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T61
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsSD· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T61
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@PHI· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T61
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #74
T61
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsSF· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #76
T61
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T61
Ty France1B
SD@CHC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T61
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@SEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T61
Carson KellyC
CHCvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T61
Dylan BeaversRF
BALvsCWS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T61
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@BOS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T61
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsCWS· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T61
Daulton VarshoCF
TORvsNYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T61
Daniel SchneemannCF
CLEvsTEX· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T61
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsCIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #150
T61
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #151
T61
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsCIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T61
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #194
T61
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsTB· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T61
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsTB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
T61
Luis Urías2B
TORvsNYM· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T61
Blaze Alexander3B
BALvsCWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T61
Billy CookCF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T61
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #216
T61
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@BAL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T61
Lars NootbaarLF
STL@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #225
T61
Freddy FerminC
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T61
Raynel Delgado2B
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T61
Nick FortesC
TB@KC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T61
Max Muncy3B
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #246
T61
Daylen LileLF
WSH@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #254
T61
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsMIA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #255
T61
Brett Baty3B
NYM@TOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #263
T61
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@BOS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
105
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #8
T105
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #10
T105
Zach NetoSS
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #15
T105
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #17
T105
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T105
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
T105
Cole Young2B
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T105
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #43
T105
Brice Turang2B
MILvsCIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #44
T105
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T105
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #51
T105
Yandy DíazDH
TB@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T105
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #57
T105
William ContrerasC
MILvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T105
Anthony VolpeSS
NYYvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T105
Carson BengeRF
NYM@TOR· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T105
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #81
T105
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@NYY· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T105
Miguel AndujarDH
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #84
T105
George SpringerDH
TORvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #94
T105
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T105
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T105
Kyle TeelC
CWS@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T105
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T105
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T105
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@KC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T105
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #138
T105
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsSD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #142
T105
Colt Keith3B
DET@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #146
T105
Josh LoweLF
LAA@SEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T105
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #148
T105
Jared Young1B
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T105
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T105
Jorge MateoSS
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T105
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #165
T105
Taylor TrammellCF
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #166
T105
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #167
T105
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@KC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T105
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T105
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T105
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T105
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T105
Romy GonzalezDH
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T105
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T105
Dalton RushingC
LAD@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T105
Ben Williamson2B
TB@KC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T105
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #195
T105
Joey Meneses1B
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T105
Masyn WinnSS
STL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #198
T105
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #199
T105
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T105
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@CHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #205
T105
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #207
T105
Ian HappLF
CHCvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T105
Yainer DiazC
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #218
T105
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsNYM· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T105
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T105
Kevin AlcántaraDH
CHCvsSD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T105
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #238
T105
Logan O'HoppeC
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T105
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T105
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #253
T105
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
T105
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #264
T105
Jorge BarrosaCF
AZvsSF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #265
T105
Weston Wilson3B
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #266
T105
Victor RoblesRF
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #269

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Kyle Stowers (MIA) is the top total bases matchup on the Tuesday, June 30, 2026 board at 100, with Luis Arraez (SF) and Liam Hicks (MIA) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Kyle Stowers

Kyle Stowers (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. The lefty is racking up bases at .381 TB/PA against righties this year — and .500 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 41% of his trips. And Tanner Gordon has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Tanner Gordon. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Luis Arraez (SF) (100) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: a strong bat at .420 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Liam Hicks (MIA) (100) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .373 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Andy Pages (LAD) (97) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .383 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.607).
Rafael Devers (SF) (93) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: an excellent bat at .483 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (88) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: a strong bat at .473 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.793), due to bounce back.
Bryce Eldridge (SF) (83) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: a solid bat at .380 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (83) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .371 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Tanner Gordon has been getting squared up by righties — .517 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA).
LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .484 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL).
RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting squared up by righties — .469 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM).
LHP Tarik Skubal has been getting squared up by lefties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Amed Rosario (NYY), and Jasson Domínguez (NYY).

Platoon edges to target

Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .381 against righties this year.
Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .406 against righties this year.
Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .449 against righties this year.
Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .430 against lefties this year.
Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .483 against righties this year.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Kyle Stowers finished with 6 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, June 30, 2026)?: Kyle Stowers (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, June 30, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, June 30, 2026: Kyle Stowers (100), Luis Arraez (100), Liam Hicks (100), Andy Pages (97), Rafael Devers (93). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, June 30, 2026?: Yes — Kyle Stowers got 6 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .381 against righties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .406 against righties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .449 against righties this year. Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .430 against lefties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .483 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Tanner Gordon has been getting squared up by righties — .517 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA). LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .484 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL). RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting squared up by righties — .469 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM). LHP Tarik Skubal has been getting squared up by lefties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Amed Rosario (NYY), and Jasson Domínguez (NYY).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.