Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, June 30, 2026
Top total bases spot: Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. The lefty is racking up bases at .360 TB/PA against righties this year — and .357 over the last two weeks, a league-average bat that turns into a total base in about 36% of his trips. And Tanner Gordon has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Tanner Gordon. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (95) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: an excellent bat at .524 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.605), due to bounce back.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (92) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a strong bat at .438 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.896), due to bounce back.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (91) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a solid bat at .401 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.896), hot bat.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (91) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .403 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) (88) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: an excellent bat at .523 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.390).
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) (87) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .397 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (85) vs RHP Mike Burrows: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.455).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Tanner Gordon has been getting squared up by righties — .543 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Xavier Edwards (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), and Kyle Stowers (MIA).
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .521 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .474 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Max Muncy (LAD), and Shohei Ohtani (LAD).
- RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting squared up by righties — .458 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM).
Platoon edges to target
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .360 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .663 against lefties this year.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .486 against lefties this year.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .551 against righties this year.
Best parks for total bases today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Xavier Edwards (MIA) at 100.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.