Best MLB Triples Matchups — Sunday, October 18, 2026
Top triples spot: Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson (TB) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Parker Messick. The lefty is running the bases at .014 3B/PA against lefties this year, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 1% of his trips. And Parker Messick has been thin against lefties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .273 in 11 career PA against Parker Messick. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ryan Vilade (TB) (85) vs LHP Parker Messick: an elite bat at .010 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (47) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: an excellent bat at .008 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ben Williamson (TB) (45) vs LHP Parker Messick: a strong bat at .006 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (39) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: a strong bat at .006 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (39) vs LHP Parker Messick: a station-to-station bat at .001 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Liam Hicks (TB) (39) vs LHP Parker Messick: a league-average bat at .003 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jonny DeLuca (TB) (33) vs LHP Parker Messick: a league-average bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Ryan Vilade (TB) — righty bat vs LHP, .012 against lefties this year.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .009 against righties this year.
- Ben Williamson (TB) — righty bat vs LHP, .007 against lefties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .007 against righties this year.
- Jonny DeLuca (TB) — righty bat vs LHP, .000 against lefties this year.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Chandler Simpson finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.