San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Spurs122
Mavericks106FinalAmerican Airlines CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs | 32 | 36 | 24 | 30 | 122 |
 Mavericks | 31 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 106 |
Box score
FinalSan Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin VassellG | 32 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 29 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Dylan HarperG | 28 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 28 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Stephon CastleG | 28 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 26 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Luke KornetC | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Carter BryantF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr.C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Kobi GillespieGuard | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan McLaughlinG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 122 | 43 | 34 | 48-101 | 15-42 | 11-16 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 15 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. WashingtonF | 36 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 33 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Marcus SasserG | 27 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Max ChristieG | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Naji MarshallF | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Walter Clayton Jr.G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Moussa CisseC | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jett HowardG | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tobi LawalF | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 106 | 42 | 29 | 45-88 | 11-28 | 5-8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 21 |
Did not play Dwight Powell coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Spurs | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-101 | FG | 45-88 |
| 47.5% | FG% | 51.1% |
| 15-42 | 3PT | 11-28 |
| 35.7% | 3PT% | 39.3% |
| 11-16 | FT | 5-8 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 15 | Off reb | 8 |
| 34 | Assists | 29 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 8 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
104.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on the back of a back-to-back.
What the model says
Saturday, October 24ProjectedSpurs 123.8 · Mavericks 112.9
Our lineSpurs −10.9
Total236.6
Win probMavericks 14% · Spurs 86%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.