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Projected rushing yards for every back this week — carries, matchup and goal-line role, not just last week's box score.
DET vs NYJSun 1 PM87yd99ydof 89.5
KC @ MIASun 1 PM82yd70ydof 82.5
BUF vs LACSun 1 PM81yd154ydof 80.5
IND vs HOUSun 1 PM75yd68ydof 81.5
ATL @ GBThu 8 PM71yd194ydof 78.5
BAL @ DALSun 4 PM68yd89ydof 90.5
MIA vs KCSun 1 PM63yd17ydof 60.5
CHI vs PHIMon 8 PM60yd84ydof 62.5
TB vs MINSun 4 PM60yd46ydof 56.5
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PM60yd15ydof 56.5
LAR @ DENSun 8 PM57yd88ydof 51.5
JAX vs NESun 1 PM55yd73ydof 50.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PM54yd98ydof 56.5
CAR @ CLESun 1 PM54yd82ydof 70.5
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PM54yd32ydof 55.5
TEN @ NYGSun 1 PM53yd74ydof 59.5
PIT vs CINSun 1 PM52yd127ydof 57.5
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PM51yd82ydof 72.5
CLE vs CARSun 1 PM51yd70ydof 60.5
LAC @ BUFSun 1 PM50yd56ydof 58.5
NYG vs TENSun 1 PM50yd60ydof 59.5
DEN vs LARSun 8 PM48yd49ydof 50.5
SF vs ARISun 4 PM47yd75ydof 55.5
WSH vs SEASun 1 PM44yd36ydof 37.5
LAR @ DENSun 8 PM41yd15ydof 45.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PM41yd6ydof 37.5
HOU @ INDSun 1 PM41yd33ydof 50.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).