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Projected rushing yards for every back this week — carries, matchup and goal-line role, not just last week's box score.
BUF vs DETThu 8 PM83yd135ydof 78.5
KC vs INDSun 8 PM77yd117ydof 82.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PM75yd72ydof 75.5
IND @ KCSun 8 PM73yd92ydof 79.5
DET @ BUFThu 8 PM71yd52ydof 85.5
BAL vs NOSun 1 PM69yd68ydof 85.5
CHI vs MINSun 1 PM68yd45ydof 60.5
PHI @ TENSun 1 PM66yd9ydof 78.5
LAC vs LVSun 4 PM66yd94ydof 60.5
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PM64yd30ydof 75.5
TB vs CLESun 1 PM61yd89ydof 60.5
SEA @ ARISun 4 PM61yd52ydof 60.5
GB @ NYJSun 1 PM61yd20ydof 49.5
LAR vs NYGMon 8 PM56yd85ydof 63.5
JAX @ DENSun 4 PM55yd65ydof 48.5
SF vs MIASun 4 PM55yd23ydof 60.5
MIA @ SFSun 4 PM54yd74ydof 45.5
TEN vs PHISun 1 PM54yd64ydof 39.5
WSH @ DALSun 4 PM53yd43ydof 51.5
DEN vs JAXSun 4 PM53yd36ydof 55.5
HOU vs CINSun 1 PM52yd10ydof 63.5
NYG @ LARMon 8 PM51yd36ydof 49.5
SF vs MIASun 4 PM51yd25ydof 37.5
ARI vs SEASun 4 PM50yd29ydof 35.5
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PM50yd53ydof 56.5
CLE @ TBSun 1 PM48yd21ydof 49.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).