Manchester City vs Real Madrid
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Man City0
Real Madrid3Full timeSantiago BernabéuBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, March 11, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 3–0
Proj2.3–1.5
Real MadridHOME✓55%2.3proj-120fair—mktDraw21%—proj+370fair—mkt
Manchester CityAWAY24%1.5proj+314fair—mktO2.5 74% ✓BTTS 71% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAway
Home
Head to head
Last 5 meetingsReal Madrid lead 4-112–6 on goals