Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Chelsea2
PSG5Full timeParc des PrincesBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, March 11, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 5–2
Proj2.5–1.3
Paris Saint-GermainHOME✓63%2.5proj-171fair—mktDraw19%—proj+419fair—mkt
ChelseaAWAY18%1.3proj+466fair—mktO2.5 74% ✓BTTS 68% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAwayChelseaNot in the table
ChelseaNot in the tableHome
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsParis Saint-Germain lead 2-08–2 on goals