Sassuolo vs Atalanta
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Sassuolo1
Atalanta2Full timeNew Balance ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj1.2–1.1
AtalantaHOME✓39%1.2proj+155fair-161mkt-22.5%Draw31%—proj+224fair+353mktModel lean+8.8%
SassuoloAWAY30%1.1proj+233fair+514mktModel lean+13.7%O2.5 40% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 48% · mkt 53% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mateo Retegui1+ Goals28%––DNPGianluca Scamacca1+ Goals26%44%+130✗ 0Domenico Berardi1+ Goals22%23%+380DNPAndrea Pinamonti1+ Goals20%23%+380DNP
Charles De Ketelaere1+ Goals20%36%+185✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots91%––✗ 0Mateo Retegui1+ Shots91%––DNPCharles De Ketelaere1+ Shots89%98%-4000✗ 0Andrea Pinamonti1+ Shots88%91%-1000DNP
Domenico Berardi1+ Shots84%88%-700DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots on Target57%88%-700✗ 0Andrea Pinamonti1+ Shots on Target56%61%-155DNP
Charles De Ketelaere1+ Shots on Target56%71%-250✗ 0Mateo Retegui1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPDomenico Berardi1+ Shots on Target51%59%-145DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mateo ReteguiO0.515%––DNPDomenico BerardiO0.514%19%+430DNPArmand LaurientéO0.513%20%+390✗ 0Andrea PinamontiO0.512%15%+550DNP
Charles De KetelaereO0.512%23%+340✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mateo Retegui39%––DNPGianluca Scamacca33%––✗ 0Domenico Berardi33%––DNPAndrea Pinamonti30%––DNP
Charles De Ketelaere30%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece4–2 on goals