Udinese vs Monza
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Udinese3
Monza2Full timeU-Power StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.4–1.4
MonzaHOME✗38%1.4proj+165fair+220mktModel lean+6.4%Draw28%—proj+263fair+220mkt-3.7%
UdineseAWAY35%1.4proj+187fair+167mkt-2.7%O2.5 54% · mkt 40% ✓BTTS 58% · mkt 49% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Keinan Davis1+ Goals26%33%+245✗ 0Gianluca Caprari1+ Goals25%––DNPDany Mota1+ Goals24%––✗ 0Keita Baldé1+ Goals21%––DNPNicolò Zaniolo1+ Goals17%29%+265DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dany Mota1+ Shots93%––✓ 1Nicolò Zaniolo1+ Shots92%––DNPKeinan Davis1+ Shots90%97%-3000✓ 2Keita Baldé1+ Shots89%––DNPGianluca Caprari1+ Shots87%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dany Mota1+ Shots on Target59%––✗ 0Keinan Davis1+ Shots on Target58%71%-240✗ 0Keita Baldé1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPGianluca Caprari1+ Shots on Target51%––DNPNicolò Zaniolo1+ Shots on Target48%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jurgen EkkelenkampO0.519%15%+550✗ 0Georgios KyriakopoulosO0.519%––DNPDany MotaO0.515%––✗ 0Keinan DavisO0.514%18%+450✗ 0Arthur AttaO0.513%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Keinan Davis36%––✗ 0Dany Mota35%––✗ 0Gianluca Caprari34%––DNPKeita Baldé31%––DNPJurgen Ekkelenkamp29%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece4–4 on goals