Como vs Napoli
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Como2
Napoli1Full timeStadio Diego Armando MaradonaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.2–0.9
NapoliHOME✗42%1.2proj+138fair+164mktModel lean+4.1%Draw32%—proj+210fair+216mkt+0.7%
ComoAWAY26%0.9proj+289fair+224mkt-5.1%O2.5 34% · mkt 43% ✗BTTS 42% · mkt 52% ✗
CBSSN · Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Goals28%––DNP
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Goals26%30%+275✓ 1Gabriel Strefezza1+ Goals21%––DNPKevin De Bruyne1+ Goals20%21%+425✗ 0Rasmus Højlund1+ Goals20%33%+245✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots90%––DNP
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Shots90%91%-1000✓ 3Nico Paz1+ Shots86%98%-4000✓ 5Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots82%94%-1500✓ 2David Neres1+ Shots81%88%-700✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anastasios Douvikas1+ Shots on Target63%61%-155✓ 2Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots on Target55%––DNP
Gabriel Strefezza1+ Shots on Target51%––DNPScott McTominay1+ Shots on Target49%61%-155✗ 0Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots on Target49%61%-155✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin De BruyneO0.515%24%+310✗ 0Nico PazO0.515%20%+390✗ 0David NeresO0.512%28%+260✗ 0Gabriel StrefezzaO0.512%––DNPRasmus HøjlundO0.511%17%+500✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori34%––DNP
Kevin De Bruyne32%––✗ 0Anastasios Douvikas31%––✓ 1Gabriel Strefezza30%––DNPRasmus Højlund29%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsComo lead 2-01 draw4–2 on goals