Lazio vs Bologna
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Lazio1
Bologna0Full timeRenato Dall'AraBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, August 24, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
Proj1.2–1.0
BolognaHOME✗39%1.2proj+159fair+142mkt-2.7%Draw31%—proj+219fair+226mkt+0.6%
LazioAWAY30%1.0proj+233fair+258mkt+2.1%O2.5 39% · mkt 42% ✓BTTS 47% · mkt 51% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Riccardo Orsolini1+ Goals22%31%+275✗ 0Santiago Castro1+ Goals20%––DNP
Matteo Cancellieri1+ Goals17%23%+390✗ 0Gustav Isaksen1+ Goals16%––✗ 0Jens Odgaard1+ Goals15%23%+350✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Riccardo Orsolini1+ Shots89%98%-5000✗ 0Santiago Castro1+ Shots84%––DNP
Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots83%91%-1000✓ 2Boulaye Dia1+ Shots83%85%-550✗ 0Gustav Isaksen1+ Shots81%––✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Riccardo Orsolini1+ Shots on Target56%71%-250✗ 0Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots on Target49%62%-160✓ 1Santiago Castro1+ Shots on Target47%––DNP
Boulaye Dia1+ Shots on Target47%57%-130✗ 0Gustav Isaksen1+ Shots on Target46%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Emil HolmO0.513%21%+370✗ 0Nicolò CambiaghiO0.512%19%+440✗ 0Toma BasicO0.510%––DNP
Riccardo OrsoliniO0.510%17%+480✗ 0Danilo CataldiO0.510%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Riccardo Orsolini30%––✗ 0Santiago Castro26%––DNP
Nicolò Cambiaghi23%––✗ 0Matteo Cancellieri23%––✗ 0Jens Odgaard22%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw2–6 on goals