Napoli vs Genoa
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Napoli2
Genoa0Full timeStadio Luigi FerrarisBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
Proj1.1–1.3
GenoaHOME28%1.1proj+252fair+345mktModel lean+5.9%Draw30%—proj+233fair+227mkt-0.5%
NapoliAWAY✓42%1.3proj+140fair+112mkt-5.6%O2.5 43% · mkt 39% ✓BTTS 49% · mkt 44% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rasmus Højlund1+ Goals32%32%+215✗ 0Romelu Lukaku1+ Goals28%––DNP
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Goals27%––DNP
David Neres1+ Goals24%––DNPFrank Anguissa1+ Goals20%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots91%––DNP
Romelu Lukaku1+ Shots91%––DNP
Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots91%97%-3000✗ 0Scott McTominay1+ Shots86%98%-4000✓ 1David Neres1+ Shots84%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots on Target64%71%-250✗ 0Romelu Lukaku1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Scott McTominay1+ Shots on Target53%71%-250✓ 1David Neres1+ Shots on Target49%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rasmus HøjlundO0.519%17%+500✗ 0David NeresO0.516%––DNPRomelu LukakuO0.515%––DNP
Giacomo RaspadoriO0.513%––DNP
Aarón MartínO0.513%19%+430DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rasmus Højlund45%––✗ 0Romelu Lukaku39%––DNP
Giacomo Raspadori36%––DNP
David Neres36%––DNPFrank Anguissa29%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsNapoli lead 2-01 draw6–3 on goals