Monza vs Internazionale
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Monza1
Inter Milan4Full timeSan SiroBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–1
Proj1.9–0.9
InternazionaleHOME✓60%1.9proj-153fair—mkt—Draw24%—proj+317fair—mkt—
MonzaAWAY16%0.9proj+540fair—mkt—O2.5 52% ✓BTTS 50% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Goals39%––✗ 0Joaquín Correa1+ Goals31%––DNPHakan Çalhanoglu1+ Goals29%––✓ 1Marcus Thuram1+ Goals27%––DNPAnge-Yoan Bonny1+ Goals27%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots97%––✗ 0Luis Henrique1+ Shots91%––✗ 0Joaquín Correa1+ Shots91%––DNPMarcus Thuram1+ Shots91%––DNPHakan Çalhanoglu1+ Shots88%––✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots on Target72%––✗ 0Luis Henrique1+ Shots on Target60%––✗ 0Marcus Thuram1+ Shots on Target59%––DNPJoaquín Correa1+ Shots on Target56%––DNPAnge-Yoan Bonny1+ Shots on Target54%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Federico DimarcoO0.526%––✗ 0Lautaro MartínezO0.521%––✗ 0Luis HenriqueO0.518%––✗ 0Nicolò BarellaO0.516%––✗ 0Alessandro BastoniO0.515%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez52%––✗ 0Joaquín Correa41%––DNPLuis Henrique38%––✗ 0Hakan Çalhanoglu38%––✓ 1Ange-Yoan Bonny36%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsInternazionale lead 2-07–3 on goals