AC Milan vs Torino
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Milan2
Torino1Full timeStadio Olimpico Grande TorinoBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.1–1.5
TorinoHOME25%1.1proj+294fair+347mkt+3.0%Draw28%—proj+259fair+257mkt-0.2%
AC MilanAWAY✓47%1.5proj+114fair+102mkt-2.8%O2.5 49% · mkt 43% ✗BTTS 53% · mkt 48% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Leão1+ Goals36%33%+290DNP
Christian Pulisic1+ Goals31%36%+195DNPAlexis Saelemaekers1+ Goals29%20%+450✗ 0Christopher Nkunku1+ Goals23%––DNP
Santiago Gimenez1+ Goals21%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Leão1+ Shots94%97%-3000DNP
Christopher Nkunku1+ Shots93%––DNP
Alexis Saelemaekers1+ Shots92%83%-475✓ 1Santiago Gimenez1+ Shots88%––DNP
Giovanni Simeone1+ Shots86%95%-2000✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Leão1+ Shots on Target68%77%-340DNP
Christopher Nkunku1+ Shots on Target61%––DNP
Alexis Saelemaekers1+ Shots on Target59%––✗ 0Santiago Gimenez1+ Shots on Target54%––DNP
Giovanni Simeone1+ Shots on Target53%62%-165✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Christopher NkunkuO0.520%––DNP
Alexis SaelemaekersO0.519%27%+270✗ 0Rafael LeãoO0.517%22%+350DNP
Christian PulisicO0.516%23%+340DNPYoussouf FofanaO0.515%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Leão47%––DNP
Alexis Saelemaekers42%––✗ 0Christian Pulisic42%––DNPChristopher Nkunku39%––DNP
Santiago Gimenez30%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAC Milan lead 2-16–5 on goals