Internazionale vs Cagliari
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Inter Milan1
Cagliari0Full timeUnipol DomusBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
Proj1.1–1.5
CagliariHOME26%1.1proj+284fair—mkt—Draw28%—proj+254fair—mkt—
InternazionaleAWAY✓46%1.5proj+119fair—mkt—O2.5 48% ✓BTTS 53% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hakan Çalhanoglu1+ Goals33%––✓ 1Lautaro Martínez1+ Goals32%––✗ 0Joaquín Correa1+ Goals28%––DNPYann Bisseck1+ Goals25%––✗ 0Marcus Thuram1+ Goals23%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots96%––✓ 10Luis Henrique1+ Shots90%––✓ 1Marcus Thuram1+ Shots90%––✓ 3Joaquín Correa1+ Shots89%––DNPHakan Çalhanoglu1+ Shots83%––✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez1+ Shots on Target66%––✓ 1Luis Henrique1+ Shots on Target56%––✗ 0Marcus Thuram1+ Shots on Target55%––✗ 0Joaquín Correa1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPHakan Çalhanoglu1+ Shots on Target51%––✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Federico DimarcoO0.519%––✗ 0Lautaro MartínezO0.517%––✗ 0Luis HenriqueO0.515%––✗ 0Michel AdopoO0.515%––✗ 0Nicolò BarellaO0.514%––✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lautaro Martínez44%––✗ 0Hakan Çalhanoglu40%––✓ 1Joaquín Correa37%––DNPLuis Henrique32%––✗ 0Marcus Thuram31%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsInternazionale lead 3-06–1 on goals