Frosinone vs Fiorentina
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Frosinone3
Fiorentina0Full timeStadio Artemio FranchiBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–3
Proj1.3–1.2
FiorentinaHOME✗37%1.3proj+168fair-131mkt-19.4%Draw30%—proj+232fair+317mktModel lean+6.1%
FrosinoneAWAY33%1.2proj+207fair+417mktModel lean+13.2%O2.5 43% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 50% · mkt 55% ✗
CBSSN · Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Moise Kean1+ Goals25%47%+135DNP
Albert Gudmundsson1+ Goals24%39%+175✗ 0Matías Moreno1+ Goals15%––DNP
Lucas Beltrán1+ Goals14%––DNPRolando Mandragora1+ Goals14%31%+275✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Moise Kean1+ Shots96%––DNP
Albert Gudmundsson1+ Shots88%98%-4000✓ 4Moise Kean2+ Shots85%98%-4000DNP
Matías Moreno1+ Shots80%––DNP
Rolando Mandragora1+ Shots68%97%-3000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Moise Kean1+ Shots on Target72%88%-700DNP
Albert Gudmundsson1+ Shots on Target56%73%-270✓ 1Matías Moreno1+ Shots on Target43%––DNP
Moise Kean2+ Shots on Target36%60%-150DNP
Cher Ndour1+ Shots on Target33%59%-145✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Albert GudmundssonO0.511%23%+330✗ 0Moise KeanO0.511%17%+480DNP
Nicolò FagioliO0.59%26%+280✗ 0Matías MorenoO0.59%––DNP
Lucas BeltránO0.58%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Moise Kean33%––DNP
Albert Gudmundsson33%––✗ 0Matías Moreno22%––DNP
Lucas Beltrán21%––DNPRolando Mandragora18%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingFrosinone lead 1-03–0 on goals