Lecce vs Venezia
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Lecce2
Venezia0Full timeStadio Pier Luigi PenzoBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
Proj1.3–1.0
VeneziaHOME✗44%1.3proj+129fair+111mkt-3.8%Draw31%—proj+228fair+238mkt+1.0%
LecceAWAY26%1.0proj+286fair+332mkt+2.7%O2.5 40% · mkt 43% ✓BTTS 47% · mkt 51% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin1+ Goals21%––DNP
John Yeboah1+ Goals19%––✗ 0Jesper Karlsson1+ Goals13%––DNP
Nikola Stulic1+ Goals12%––✗ 0Medon Berisha1+ Goals11%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin1+ Shots89%––DNP
John Yeboah1+ Shots87%––✓ 2Nikola Stulic1+ Shots76%––✓ 3Jesper Karlsson1+ Shots74%––DNP
Gianluca Busio1+ Shots72%––✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin1+ Shots on Target54%––DNP
John Yeboah1+ Shots on Target51%––✓ 1Jesper Karlsson1+ Shots on Target38%––DNP
Nikola Stulic1+ Shots on Target37%––✓ 1Patrick Dorgu1+ Shots on Target35%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio ZerbinO0.512%––DNP
Medon BerishaO0.512%––DNPJohn YeboahO0.510%––✗ 0Álex SalaO0.59%––DNPGianluca BusioO0.59%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alessio Zerbin30%––DNP
John Yeboah27%––✗ 0Medon Berisha21%––DNPJesper Karlsson19%––DNP
Gianluca Busio19%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLecce lead 1-01 draw3–1 on goals