Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
PSG–
Marseille–2:45 PM ETStade VélodromeLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
2:45 PM ET
Proj1.4–1.8
MarseilleHOME29%1.4proj+242fair+524mktModel lean+13.2%Draw25%—proj+295fair+410mktModel lean+5.7%
Paris Saint-GermainAWAY45%1.8proj+120fair-180mkt-18.8%O2.5 61%BTTS 63%
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Ligue 1 tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Goals42%––Ferran Torres1+ Goals31%––Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Goals30%––Ousmane Dembélé1+ Goals29%––Bradley Barcola1+ Goals28%––
Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Désiré Doué1+ Shots94%––Mason Greenwood1+ Shots94%––
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots93%––Amine Gouiri1+ Shots92%––Igor Paixão1+ Shots89%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Mason Greenwood1+ Shots on Target69%––
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots on Target67%––Amine Gouiri1+ Shots on Target66%––Désiré Doué1+ Shots on Target63%––Igor Paixão1+ Shots on Target59%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Fabián RuizO0.533%––Ousmane DembéléO0.519%––VitinhaO0.519%––Senny MayuluO0.519%––Khvicha KvaratskheliaO0.518%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Amine Gouiri48%––Ousmane Dembélé43%––Khvicha Kvaratskhelia43%––Désiré Doué39%––Mason Greenwood39%––
The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsParis Saint-Germain lead 2-18–2 on goals