MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

PSGPSG2LILLLille2Full timeDecathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Box score

Final

What the model says

Friday, August 28, 2026
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.7–1.4
LILLLilleHOME✗44%1.7proj+129fair+405mktModel lean+23.9%
Draw26%—proj+292fair+316mkt+1.5%
PSGParis Saint-GermainAWAY31%1.4proj+224fair-129mkt-25.4%
O2.5 61% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 63% · mkt 56% ✓

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

Ligue 1 table
Away
PSGParis Saint-Germain13th2 pts0-2-1LWDDL
Home
LILLLille4th7 pts2-1-0WWWDW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Bradley Barcola1+ Goals29%––DNP
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Goals28%42%+160✗ 0
Olivier Giroud1+ Goals27%29%+295✗ 0
Matias Fernandez-Pardo1+ Goals25%26%+295DNP
Ismaily1+ Goals22%––DNP

Shots

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots92%96%-2500✓ 2
Bradley Barcola1+ Shots89%––DNP
Désiré Doué1+ Shots89%98%-4000✓ 1
Ismaily1+ Shots87%––DNP
Matias Fernandez-Pardo1+ Shots87%87%-650DNP

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Bradley Barcola1+ Shots on Target63%––DNP
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots on Target62%77%-340✗ 0
Matias Fernandez-Pardo1+ Shots on Target55%61%-155DNP
Ismaily1+ Shots on Target54%––DNP
Désiré Doué1+ Shots on Target51%73%-270✗ 0

Assists

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Nabil BentalebO0.523%10%+900✗ 0
VitinhaO0.518%––✓ 1
Fabián RuizO0.516%26%+290✗ 0
Khvicha KvaratskheliaO0.515%28%+260✗ 0
Senny MayuluO0.514%19%+430✗ 0

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia39%––✗ 0
Bradley Barcola37%––DNP
Matias Fernandez-Pardo33%––DNP
Nabil Bentaleb32%––✗ 0
Olivier Giroud32%––✓ 2

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
Paris Saint-Germain lead 1-02 draws7–4 on goals
Aug 28, 26Paris Saint-Germain at Lille2–2Oct 5, 25Paris Saint-Germain at Lille1–1Mar 1, 25Lille at Paris Saint-Germain1–4