Le Mans vs Stade Rennais
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Le Mans2
Rennes3Full timeRoazhon ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj2.0–1.4
Stade RennaisHOME✓51%2.0proj-106fair—mkt—Draw23%—proj+326fair—mkt—
Le MansAWAY25%1.4proj+298fair—mkt—O2.5 66% ✓BTTS 65% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Esteban Lepaul1+ Goals41%––✓ 2Breel Embolo1+ Goals33%––DNPMohamed Meïté1+ Goals30%––DNPMousa Al-Tamari1+ Goals22%––✗ 0Arnaud Kalimuendo1+ Goals21%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Esteban Lepaul1+ Shots91%––✓ 6Breel Embolo1+ Shots90%––DNPMohamed Meïté1+ Shots89%––DNPMousa Al-Tamari1+ Shots86%––✓ 3Arnaud Kalimuendo1+ Shots79%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Esteban Lepaul1+ Shots on Target63%––✓ 4Breel Embolo1+ Shots on Target63%––DNPMohamed Meïté1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPMousa Al-Tamari1+ Shots on Target52%––✓ 2Arnaud Kalimuendo1+ Shots on Target46%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Przemyslaw FrankowskiO0.527%––✗ 0Azor MatusiwaO0.516%––DNP
Arnaud KalimuendoO0.515%––DNP
Leo ØstigardO0.514%––DNP
Adrien TruffertO0.514%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Esteban Lepaul48%––✓ 2Breel Embolo40%––DNPMohamed Meïté39%––DNPPrzemyslaw Frankowski34%––✗ 0Arnaud Kalimuendo33%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingStade Rennais lead 1-03–2 on goals