Marseille vs AS Monaco
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Marseille0
Monaco2Full timeStade Louis IIBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
Proj1.2–1.6
AS MonacoHOME29%1.2proj+249fair+134mkt-14.1%Draw27%—proj+266fair+274mkt+0.6%
MarseilleAWAY✗44%1.6proj+127fair+229mktModel lean+13.7%O2.5 53% · mkt 57% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 62% ✗
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Goals50%33%+205✗ 0Mason Greenwood1+ Goals41%––DNP
Igor Paixão1+ Goals32%26%+320DNPTimothy Weah1+ Goals30%14%+750✗ 0Pierre-Emile Højbjerg1+ Goals26%9%+1300✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Shots96%––✓ 1Igor Paixão1+ Shots94%––DNPMason Greenwood1+ Shots94%––DNP
Timothy Weah1+ Shots90%––✓ 2Pierre-Emile Højbjerg1+ Shots85%––✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Shots on Target76%––✗ 0Igor Paixão1+ Shots on Target70%––DNPMason Greenwood1+ Shots on Target69%––DNP
Timothy Weah1+ Shots on Target61%––✗ 0Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots on Target56%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangO0.526%––DNP
Angel GomesO0.521%––✗ 0Mason GreenwoodO0.519%––DNP
Benjamin PavardO0.518%––DNP
Adrien RabiotO0.517%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri56%––✗ 0Mason Greenwood52%––DNP
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang45%––DNP
Igor Paixão41%––DNPTimothy Weah39%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAS Monaco lead 2-15–1 on goals