Troyes vs Lorient
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Troyes2
Lorient1Full timeStade du Moustoir - Yves AllainmatBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.1–0.9
LorientHOME✗38%1.1proj+161fair+103mkt-10.8%Draw33%—proj+202fair+259mktModel lean+5.3%
TroyesAWAY28%0.9proj+251fair+331mktModel lean+5.3%O2.5 33% · mkt 45% ✗BTTS 42% · mkt 50% ✗
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pablo Pagis1+ Goals16%––DNP
Sambou Soumano1+ Goals15%––DNPIgor Silva1+ Goals8%––DNPAbdoulaye Faye1+ Goals8%––DNP
Laurent Abergel1+ Goals7%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pablo Pagis1+ Shots77%––DNP
Sambou Soumano1+ Shots74%––DNPJean-Victor Makengo1+ Shots64%––✓ 1Abdoulaye Faye1+ Shots60%––DNP
Laurent Abergel1+ Shots58%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pablo Pagis1+ Shots on Target39%––DNP
Sambou Soumano1+ Shots on Target39%––DNPJean-Victor Makengo1+ Shots on Target30%––✓ 1Abdoulaye Faye1+ Shots on Target27%––DNP
Laurent Abergel1+ Shots on Target25%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Abdoulaye FayeO0.57%––DNP
Sambou SoumanoO0.56%––DNPArsène KouassiO0.56%––✗ 0Arthur AvomO0.56%––✗ 0Jean-Victor MakengoO0.55%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sambou Soumano20%––DNPPablo Pagis20%––DNP
Abdoulaye Faye14%––DNP
Laurent Abergel12%––DNP
Théo Le Bris11%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingTroyes lead 1-02–1 on goals