Toulouse vs Brest
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Toulouse2
Brest2Full timeStade Francis-Le BléBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.7–1.2
BrestHOME✗47%1.7proj+113fair+177mktModel lean+10.8%Draw26%—proj+280fair+251mkt-2.2%
ToulouseAWAY27%1.2proj+273fair+183mkt-8.6%O2.5 56% · mkt 49% ✓BTTS 59% · mkt 56% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King1+ Goals28%––DNPYann Gboho1+ Goals25%29%+250✗ 0Romain Del Castillo1+ Goals24%29%+280✗ 0Edimilson Fernandes1+ Goals22%––DNPKamory Doumbia1+ Goals21%21%+370✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ludovic Ajorque1+ Shots93%––✓ 2Joshua King1+ Shots91%––DNPYann Gboho1+ Shots89%––✗ 0Edimilson Fernandes1+ Shots88%––DNPDaouda Guindo1+ Shots86%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King1+ Shots on Target61%––DNPLudovic Ajorque1+ Shots on Target59%––✓ 1Yann Gboho1+ Shots on Target53%––✗ 0Edimilson Fernandes1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPDaouda Guindo1+ Shots on Target52%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kamory DoumbiaO0.520%––✗ 0Mathias Pereira LageO0.517%––DNPGabriel SuazoO0.513%––DNP
Djibril SidibéO0.513%––DNP
Ludovic AjorqueO0.512%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King37%––DNPKamory Doumbia37%––✓ 1Yann Gboho33%––✓ 1Romain Del Castillo31%––✗ 0Ludovic Ajorque31%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw6–6 on goals