Lyon vs Toulouse
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Lyon2
Toulouse0Full timeStadium Municipal de ToulouseBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
Proj1.7–1.0
ToulouseHOME✗52%1.7proj-109fair+144mktModel lean+11.3%Draw26%—proj+280fair+258mkt-1.7%
LyonAWAY21%1.0proj+366fair+225mkt-9.4%O2.5 51% · mkt 51% ✗BTTS 53% · mkt 57% ✗
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexandre Lacazette1+ Goals27%––DNPJoshua King1+ Goals27%––DNPYann Gboho1+ Goals26%31%+230✗ 0Malick Fofana1+ Goals24%26%+350✓ 1Pavel Sulc1+ Goals21%28%+390✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King1+ Shots89%––DNPMalick Fofana1+ Shots88%––✓ 1Yann Gboho1+ Shots86%––✓ 2Alexandre Lacazette1+ Shots85%––DNPFrank Magri1+ Shots78%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King1+ Shots on Target60%––DNPMalick Fofana1+ Shots on Target59%––✓ 1Alexandre Lacazette1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPYann Gboho1+ Shots on Target56%––✗ 0Shavy Babicka1+ Shots on Target47%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Afonso MoreiraO0.517%––DNP
Rayan CherkiO0.513%––DNP
Djibril SidibéO0.513%––DNP
Gabriel SuazoO0.512%––DNP
Thiago AlmadaO0.511%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Joshua King34%––DNPYann Gboho33%––✗ 0Alexandre Lacazette33%––DNPMalick Fofana32%––✓ 1Afonso Moreira29%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw3–2 on goals