Strasbourg vs Marseille
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Strasbourg0
Marseille4Full timeStade VélodromeBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, August 21, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–0
Proj2.0–1.1
MarseilleHOME✓57%2.0proj-132fair-122mkt+1.9%Draw23%—proj+327fair+329mkt+0.1%
StrasbourgAWAY20%1.1proj+410fair+358mkt-2.2%O2.5 60% ✓BTTS 59% · mkt 62% ✗
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mason Greenwood1+ Goals42%––DNP
Joaquín Panichelli1+ Goals32%––DNPIgor Paixão1+ Goals30%36%+200✗ 0Amine Gouiri1+ Goals29%44%+150✓ 2Timothy Weah1+ Goals27%18%+550✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mason Greenwood1+ Shots96%––DNP
Igor Paixão1+ Shots92%––✓ 1Joaquín Panichelli1+ Shots91%––DNPAmine Gouiri1+ Shots90%––✓ 5Timothy Weah1+ Shots89%––✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mason Greenwood1+ Shots on Target72%––DNP
Joaquín Panichelli1+ Shots on Target66%––DNPIgor Paixão1+ Shots on Target65%––✓ 1Amine Gouiri1+ Shots on Target63%––✓ 3Timothy Weah1+ Shots on Target61%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangO0.523%––DNP
Valentín BarcoO0.517%––DNP
Benjamin PavardO0.516%––DNP
Mason GreenwoodO0.515%––DNP
Adrien RabiotO0.515%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mason Greenwood50%––DNP
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang39%––DNP
Igor Paixão39%––✗ 0Joaquín Panichelli38%––DNPAmine Gouiri38%––✓ 2Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsMarseille lead 2-01 draw7–2 on goals