Brest vs Le Mans
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Brest2
Le Mans2Full timeStade Marie-MarvingtBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj2.0–1.1
Le MansHOME✗58%2.0proj-136fair+166mktModel lean+20.0%Draw23%—proj+335fair+249mkt-5.7%
BrestAWAY19%1.1proj+418fair+197mkt-14.4%O2.5 61% · mkt 48% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 54% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ludovic Ajorque1+ Goals23%29%+260✗ 0Edimilson Fernandes1+ Goals22%––DNPDaouda Guindo1+ Goals20%––DNPMama Baldé1+ Goals19%26%+290✗ 0Pathé Mboup1+ Goals18%26%+300✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ludovic Ajorque1+ Shots88%––✓ 7Edimilson Fernandes1+ Shots87%––DNPDaouda Guindo1+ Shots85%––DNPMama Baldé1+ Shots81%––✓ 2Pathé Mboup1+ Shots79%––✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ludovic Ajorque1+ Shots on Target54%––✓ 2Edimilson Fernandes1+ Shots on Target52%––DNPDaouda Guindo1+ Shots on Target52%––DNPPathé Mboup1+ Shots on Target51%––✓ 1Mama Baldé1+ Shots on Target44%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mathias Pereira LageO0.517%––DNPLudovic AjorqueO0.513%––✗ 0Kamory DoumbiaO0.511%––✓ 1Abdoulaye NdiayeO0.511%––DNP
Romain Del CastilloO0.511%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ludovic Ajorque34%––✗ 0Edimilson Fernandes30%––DNPRomain Del Castillo27%––✓ 1Daouda Guindo26%––DNPMama Baldé26%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingLevel at 0 apiece1 draw2–2 on goals