Aston Villa vs Hull City
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Aston Villa0
Hull0Full timeThe MKM StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–0
Proj1.6–0.8
Hull CityHOME✗55%1.6proj-120fair+330mktModel lean+31.3%Draw28%—proj+262fair+280mkt+1.4%
Aston VillaAWAY18%0.8proj+462fair-103mkt-32.8%O2.5 42% · mkt 50% ✓BTTS 45% · mkt 53% ✓
NBC
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Goals19%––DNPMorgan Rogers1+ Goals16%––DNP
Amadou Onana1+ Goals9%13%+700DNPEmiliano Buendía1+ Goals8%29%+260✗ 0Marcus Rashford1+ Goals8%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Shots79%––DNPMorgan Rogers1+ Shots74%––DNP
Youri Tielemans1+ Shots68%––DNP
Marcus Rashford1+ Shots60%––DNP
John McGinn1+ Shots60%83%-500✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Shots on Target46%––DNPYouri Tielemans1+ Shots on Target33%––DNP
Morgan Rogers1+ Shots on Target33%––DNP
Marcus Rashford1+ Shots on Target31%––DNP
Amadou Onana1+ Shots on Target22%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Morgan RogersO0.514%––DNP
Youri TielemansO0.58%––DNP
Ollie WatkinsO0.58%––DNPBoubacar KamaraO0.57%17%+500✗ 0John McGinnO0.56%22%+350✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Morgan Rogers28%––DNP
Ollie Watkins25%––DNPYouri Tielemans14%––DNP
Amadou Onana13%––DNPEmiliano Buendía12%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingLevel at 0 apiece1 draw0–0 on goals