Premier League Match Board — Saturday, September 5, 2026

Every Premier League match on Saturday, September 5, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML7-2+12.5u

Over 2.56-3+0.1u

BTTS4-5−1.8u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 7 of 9 on Over 2.5.

Saturday, September 5

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

7:30 AM ET

Newcastle Unitedvs BOU

AFC Bournemouth

St. James' Park · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

10:00 AM ET

Brentfordvs SUN

Sunderland

Gtech Community Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

10:00 AM ET

Brighton & Hove Albionvs LEE

Leeds United

American Express Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

10:00 AM ET

Fulhamvs

Crystal Palace

Craven Cottage · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

10:00 AM ET

Manchester Cityvs COV

Coventry City

Etihad Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

10:00 AM ET

Nottingham Forestvs TOT

Tottenham Hotspur

The City Ground · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

12:30 PM ET

Hull Cityvs AVL

Aston Villa

The MKM Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).