AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Bournemouth2
Newcastle2Full timeSt. James' ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.9–1.2
Newcastle UnitedHOME✗52%1.9proj-110fair+124mktModel lean+7.6%Draw24%—proj+310fair+280mkt-1.9%
AFC BournemouthAWAY23%1.2proj+329fair+239mkt-6.1%O2.5 60% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 63% ✓
USA Net · Universo
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anthony Elanga1+ Goals27%26%+400✗ 0Antoine Semenyo1+ Goals25%––DNP
Marcus Tavernier1+ Goals20%21%+400✓ 1Justin Kluivert1+ Goals19%22%+400✗ 0Bruno Guimarães1+ Goals19%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots89%––DNP
Justin Kluivert1+ Shots87%93%-1250✓ 2Evanilson1+ Shots86%94%-1500✓ 3Marcus Tavernier1+ Shots83%93%-1250✓ 5Joelinton1+ Shots78%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots on Target66%––DNP
Justin Kluivert1+ Shots on Target58%57%-135✗ 0Anthony Elanga1+ Shots on Target50%62%-160✗ 0Evanilson1+ Shots on Target44%64%-175✗ 0Bruno Guimarães1+ Shots on Target41%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
EvanilsonO0.522%18%+470✗ 0Nick WoltemadeO0.518%––DNP
Antoine SemenyoO0.518%––DNP
Lewis MileyO0.512%17%+500✗ 0JoelintonO0.511%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Antoine Semenyo38%––DNP
Evanilson36%––✗ 0Anthony Elanga33%––✗ 0Nick Woltemade31%––DNP
Marcus Tavernier28%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAFC Bournemouth lead 1-02 draws6–3 on goals