Crystal Palace vs Fulham
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
C Palace3
Fulham2Full timeCraven CottageBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.8–1.2
FulhamHOME✗51%1.8proj-104fair+142mktModel lean+9.6%Draw25%—proj+300fair+260mkt-2.8%
Crystal PalaceAWAY24%1.2proj+317fair+224mkt-6.9%O2.5 58% · mkt 51% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 55% ✓
Peacock
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez1+ Goals29%––DNPIsmaïla Sarr1+ Goals24%29%+280DNPHarry Wilson1+ Goals22%––DNP
Jean-Philippe Mateta1+ Goals21%41%+165DNPRodrigo Muniz1+ Goals20%31%+240✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez1+ Shots93%––DNPIsmaïla Sarr1+ Shots88%93%-1250DNPHarry Wilson1+ Shots86%––DNP
Jean-Philippe Mateta1+ Shots85%––DNPAlex Iwobi1+ Shots83%80%-400✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPIsmaïla Sarr1+ Shots on Target52%64%-180DNPRodrigo Muniz1+ Shots on Target51%––✓ 1Jean-Philippe Mateta1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPHarry Wilson1+ Shots on Target49%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sasa LukicO0.517%––DNP
Raúl JiménezO0.513%––DNPIsmaïla SarrO0.512%17%+500DNPMaxence LacroixO0.512%––DNP
Timothy CastagneO0.511%14%+600✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez38%––DNPIsmaïla Sarr34%––DNPHarry Wilson30%––DNP
Alex Iwobi28%––✗ 0Rodrigo Muniz27%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsCrystal Palace lead 3-07–3 on goals