Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Leeds1
Brighton1Full timeAmerican Express StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj2.2–1.3
Brighton & Hove AlbionHOME✗58%2.2proj-136fair+110mktModel lean+9.9%Draw22%—proj+363fair+273mkt-5.2%
Leeds UnitedAWAY21%1.3proj+381fair+292mkt-4.7%O2.5 69% · mkt 51% ✗BTTS 66% · mkt 54% ✓
Peacock
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Goals39%32%+240✗ 0Jack Hinshelwood1+ Goals35%26%+310DNPLukas Nmecha1+ Goals25%30%+250✗ 0Yankuba Minteh1+ Goals24%25%+400DNPAnton Stach1+ Goals22%17%+700✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots92%92%-1100✓ 2Georginio Rutter1+ Shots92%––DNPDiego Gómez1+ Shots91%93%-1250✓ 4Yankuba Minteh1+ Shots91%––DNPYasin Ayari1+ Shots89%90%-900✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots on Target64%63%-170✓ 2Diego Gómez1+ Shots on Target60%66%-195✓ 1Yankuba Minteh1+ Shots on Target56%––DNPGeorginio Rutter1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPLukas Nmecha1+ Shots on Target51%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georginio RutterO0.527%––DNPDiego GómezO0.520%19%+440✗ 0Lukas NmechaO0.520%––✗ 0Yankuba MintehO0.519%––DNPMatt O'RileyO0.516%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin44%––✗ 0Jack Hinshelwood43%––DNPGeorginio Rutter43%––DNPLukas Nmecha39%––✗ 0Yankuba Minteh39%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsBrighton & Hove Albion lead 1-01 draw4–1 on goals