Everton vs AFC Bournemouth
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Everton1
Bournemouth1Full timeVitality StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj1.5–1.1
AFC BournemouthHOME✗46%1.5proj+119fair+118mkt-0.2%Draw28%—proj+257fair+268mkt+0.9%
EvertonAWAY26%1.1proj+281fair+272mkt-0.6%O2.5 49% · mkt 50% ✓BTTS 53% · mkt 55% ✓
Peacock
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall1+ Goals24%19%+500✗ 0
Thierno Barry1+ Goals23%27%+280✗ 0Antoine Semenyo1+ Goals22%––DNP
Marcus Tavernier1+ Goals20%24%+375✗ 0
Iliman Ndiaye1+ Goals20%20%+425✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots87%––DNP
Iliman Ndiaye1+ Shots85%83%-475✓ 2
Evanilson1+ Shots81%98%-4000✓ 3
Marcus Tavernier1+ Shots79%97%-3000✓ 2
Thierno Barry1+ Shots78%90%-900✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots on Target63%––DNP
Iliman Ndiaye1+ Shots on Target60%51%-105✓ 1
Justin Kluivert1+ Shots on Target46%65%-185✓ 2
Evanilson1+ Shots on Target44%72%-260✗ 0
Thierno Barry1+ Shots on Target42%58%-140✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iliman NdiayeO0.519%14%+600✗ 0
Abdoulaye DoucouréO0.517%––DNPAntoine SemenyoO0.515%––DNP
EvanilsonO0.514%20%+410✓ 1
Tim IroegbunamO0.513%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iliman Ndiaye35%––✗ 0Antoine Semenyo34%––DNP
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall31%––✗ 0
Abdoulaye Doucouré30%––DNP
Marcus Tavernier28%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw2–2 on goals