Premier League Match Board — Saturday, August 29, 2026

Every Premier League match on Saturday, August 29, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML7-2+12.5u

Over 2.56-3+0.1u

BTTS4-5−1.8u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 7 of 9 on Over 2.5.

Saturday, August 29

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

7:30 AM ET

Proj2.3–0.9

LIVLiverpoolHOME67%2.3proj-200fair-176mkt+2.9%

DRWDraw20%—proj+393fair+389mkt-0.2%

NFONottingham ForestAWAY13%0.9proj+664fair+536mkt-2.6%

O2.5 62% · mkt 59%BTTS 55%

10:00 AM ET

Proj1.6–1.1

BOUAFC BournemouthHOME47%1.6proj+112fair+118mkt+1.4%

DRWDraw27%—proj+264fair+272mkt+0.6%

EVEEvertonAWAY25%1.1proj+296fair+267mkt-2.0%

O2.5 50% · mkt 51%BTTS 54%

10:00 AM ET

Proj1.2–1.2

COVCoventry CityHOME34%1.2proj+197fair-102mkt-16.9%

DRWDraw31%—proj+226fair+272mkt+3.8%

HULHull CityAWAY36%1.2proj+180fair+349mktModel lean+13.4%

O2.5 42% · mkt 53%BTTS 49%

12:30 PM ET

Proj1.5–1.3

TOTTottenham HotspurHOME43%1.5proj+134fair+134mkt-0.2%

DRWDraw27%—proj+267fair+281mkt+1.0%

NEWNewcastle UnitedAWAY30%1.3proj+232fair+223mkt-0.9%

O2.5 53% · mkt 57%BTTS 58%

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).