MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

LEELeeds1NFONottm Forest0Full timeThe City Ground

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, August 22, 2026
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
Proj1.7–1.3
NFONottingham ForestHOME✗45%1.7proj+122fair+144mktModel lean+4.2%
Draw26%—proj+281fair+252mkt-2.1%
LEELeeds UnitedAWAY29%1.3proj+249fair+226mkt-2.1%
O2.5 57% · mkt 50% ✗BTTS 60% · mkt 55% ✗
NBCSN · Peacock

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

Premier League table
Away
LEELeeds United9th5 pts1-2-0WDWDD
Home
NFONottingham Forest16th2 pts0-2-1LLLDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Goals39%32%+230✗ 0
Lukas Nmecha1+ Goals28%31%+250DNP
Callum Hudson-Odoi1+ Goals26%20%+500DNP
Omari Hutchinson1+ Goals22%20%+475DNP
Chris Wood1+ Goals20%37%+215✗ 0

Shots

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots92%94%-1500✓ 3
Igor Jesus1+ Shots91%97%-3000✓ 3
Omari Hutchinson1+ Shots87%86%-600DNP
Callum Hudson-Odoi1+ Shots86%90%-900DNP
Lukas Nmecha1+ Shots85%95%-2000DNP

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots on Target68%65%-185✗ 0
Lukas Nmecha1+ Shots on Target54%67%-200DNP
Omari Hutchinson1+ Shots on Target53%52%-110DNP
Callum Hudson-Odoi1+ Shots on Target52%55%-120DNP
Igor Jesus1+ Shots on Target50%69%-220✓ 1

Assists

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Ibrahim SangaréO0.513%11%+800✗ 0
Sean LongstaffO0.513%24%+310✗ 0
Danilo SantosO0.513%––DNP
Anton StachO0.512%21%+370✗ 0
Omari HutchinsonO0.510%19%+420DNP

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin43%––✗ 0
Lukas Nmecha33%––DNP
Callum Hudson-Odoi33%––DNP
Omari Hutchinson30%––DNP
Anton Stach27%––✓ 1

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
Level at 1 apiece2–3 on goals
Aug 22, 26Leeds United at Nottingham Forest1–0Nov 9, 25Leeds United at Nottingham Forest1–3