Brentford vs Leeds United
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Brentford1
Leeds1Full timeElland RoadBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj1.7–1.3
Leeds UnitedHOME✗45%1.7proj+123fair+172mktModel lean+8.2%Draw26%—proj+281fair+251mkt-2.3%
BrentfordAWAY29%1.3proj+247fair+188mkt-5.9%O2.5 57% · mkt 50% ✗BTTS 60% · mkt 55% ✓
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Goals32%36%+195✓ 1Igor Thiago1+ Goals30%42%+160✗ 0Lukas Nmecha1+ Goals25%34%+210✗ 0Kevin Schade1+ Goals25%24%+340✓ 1Anton Stach1+ Goals23%17%+500✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots92%95%-2000✓ 1Igor Thiago1+ Shots91%96%-2500✓ 5Dango Ouattara1+ Shots90%94%-1500✓ 1Kevin Schade1+ Shots87%94%-1500✓ 3Lukas Nmecha1+ Shots84%95%-2000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots on Target62%71%-240✓ 1Igor Thiago1+ Shots on Target60%77%-330✓ 2Kevin Schade1+ Shots on Target57%63%-170✓ 1Lukas Nmecha1+ Shots on Target53%76%-320✗ 0Dango Ouattara1+ Shots on Target51%59%-145✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Brenden AaronsonO0.514%22%+360✗ 0Jordan HendersonO0.514%––DNP
Yehor YarmoliukO0.512%13%+650✗ 0Igor ThiagoO0.511%13%+700✗ 0Sean LongstaffO0.510%29%+250DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Igor Thiago38%––✗ 0Dominic Calvert-Lewin37%––✓ 1Kevin Schade31%––✓ 1Anton Stach30%––✗ 0Lukas Nmecha30%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 0 apiece2 draws2–2 on goals