Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Brighton3
Chelsea4Full timeStamford BridgeBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–3
Proj1.7–1.5
ChelseaHOME✓42%1.7proj+139fair-103mkt-9.0%Draw26%—proj+290fair+302mkt+0.8%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAWAY33%1.5proj+208fair+314mktModel lean+8.3%O2.5 61% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 63% · mkt 58% ✓
Peacock
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jack Hinshelwood1+ Goals34%20%+450DNPJoão Pedro1+ Goals29%7%+2200✓ 1Nicolas Jackson1+ Goals23%––DNP
Yankuba Minteh1+ Goals22%23%+330DNPMaxim De Cuyper1+ Goals21%13%+650✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georginio Rutter1+ Shots91%89%-800DNPNicolas Jackson1+ Shots90%––DNP
Yankuba Minteh1+ Shots90%––DNPPedro Neto1+ Shots90%86%-600✓ 2João Pedro1+ Shots88%70%-230✓ 5Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Diego Gómez1+ Shots on Target57%57%-130✓ 1Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots on Target57%––DNP
João Pedro1+ Shots on Target55%37%+170✓ 2Yankuba Minteh1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPGeorginio Rutter1+ Shots on Target54%58%-140DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georginio RutterO0.525%19%+420DNPDiego GómezO0.521%14%+600✗ 0Yankuba MintehO0.518%––DNPJoão PedroO0.516%14%+600✓ 1Mats WiefferO0.516%13%+650✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jack Hinshelwood42%––DNPJoão Pedro40%––✓ 2Georginio Rutter40%––DNPDiego Gómez36%––✗ 0Yankuba Minteh36%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBrighton & Hove Albion lead 2-19–5 on goals