Chelsea vs Fulham
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Chelsea3
Fulham2Full timeCraven CottageBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, August 24, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.6–1.1
FulhamHOME✗48%1.6proj+109fair+295mktModel lean+22.4%Draw27%—proj+273fair+271mkt-0.1%
ChelseaAWAY25%1.1proj+293fair+107mkt-22.8%O2.5 53% · mkt 53% ✓BTTS 56% · mkt 54% ✓
USA Net · Universo
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez1+ Goals25%––DNPNicolas Jackson1+ Goals23%42%+148DNP
João Pedro1+ Goals20%43%+160✓ 1Alex Iwobi1+ Goals20%17%+600✗ 0Pedro Neto1+ Goals20%18%+600✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez1+ Shots91%––DNPNicolas Jackson1+ Shots89%––DNP
Pedro Neto1+ Shots88%82%-450✓ 1Alex Iwobi1+ Shots85%78%-350✗ 0Harry Wilson1+ Shots84%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots on Target56%––DNP
Raúl Jiménez1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPPedro Neto1+ Shots on Target52%43%+130✗ 0Alex Iwobi1+ Shots on Target52%43%+135✗ 0Rodrigo Muniz1+ Shots on Target49%71%-250✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pedro NetoO0.515%22%+360✗ 0Reece JamesO0.513%27%+270✗ 0Alex IwobiO0.510%13%+650✗ 0Nicolas JacksonO0.510%––DNP
Enzo FernándezO0.510%18%+470✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raúl Jiménez33%––DNPPedro Neto32%––✗ 0Nicolas Jackson31%––DNP
Alex Iwobi28%––✗ 0Rodrigo Muniz27%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsChelsea lead 3-07–3 on goals