AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Bournemouth1
Man City2Full timeEtihad StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj2.6–1.1
Manchester CityHOME✓69%2.6proj-223fair-176mktModel lean+5.3%Draw18%—proj+452fair+408mkt-1.6%
AFC BournemouthAWAY13%1.1proj+681fair+493mkt-4.1%O2.5 70% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 60% ✓
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Goals52%64%-155✗ 0Phil Foden1+ Goals36%34%+230✗ 0Antoine Semenyo1+ Goals27%41%+185✗ 0Jérémy Doku1+ Goals26%29%+260DNPMateo Kovacic1+ Goals20%17%+600✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots97%––✓ 5Phil Foden1+ Shots92%98%-4000✓ 2Jérémy Doku1+ Shots90%98%-4000DNPAntoine Semenyo1+ Shots89%99%-7000✓ 1Erling Haaland2+ Shots86%99%-10000✓ 5Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target81%89%-800✓ 2Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots on Target65%71%-240✓ 1Jérémy Doku1+ Shots on Target58%62%-160DNPPhil Foden1+ Shots on Target57%69%-220✗ 0Erling Haaland2+ Shots on Target49%63%-170✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rayan CherkiO0.538%45%+120✓ 2Matheus NunesO0.524%28%+260✗ 0Phil FodenO0.519%32%+210✗ 0Mateo KovacicO0.518%19%+440✗ 0Jérémy DokuO0.518%32%+210DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland60%––✗ 0Rayan Cherki49%––✓ 2Phil Foden49%––✗ 0Jérémy Doku39%––DNPMateo Kovacic35%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsManchester City lead 3-08–3 on goals