Manchester United vs Hull City
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Man United0
Hull2Full timeThe MKM StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
Proj1.8–1.3
Hull CityHOME✓47%1.8proj+112fair+758mktModel lean+35.5%Draw26%—proj+291fair+448mktModel lean+7.3%
Manchester UnitedAWAY27%1.3proj+267fair-238mkt-43.2%O2.5 59% · mkt 60% ✗BTTS 61% · mkt 50% ✗
USA Net · Universo
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Mbeumo1+ Goals30%43%+150✗ 0Matheus Cunha1+ Goals30%40%+155✗ 0Amad Diallo1+ Goals28%28%+280DNPCasemiro1+ Goals23%––DNPBenjamin Sesko1+ Goals19%49%+115✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Matheus Cunha1+ Shots94%98%-4000✓ 3Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots92%98%-4000✓ 4Amad Diallo1+ Shots90%94%-1500DNPBruno Fernandes1+ Shots84%96%-2500✓ 3Casemiro1+ Shots81%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Matheus Cunha1+ Shots on Target68%80%-390✓ 1Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots on Target66%76%-320✓ 2Amad Diallo1+ Shots on Target58%67%-200DNPBenjamin Sesko1+ Shots on Target46%85%-550✗ 0Bruno Fernandes1+ Shots on Target44%64%-180✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bruno FernandesO0.525%50%+100✗ 0Amad DialloO0.513%29%+250DNPBryan MbeumoO0.511%24%+320✗ 0Ayden HeavenO0.58%8%+1200✗ 0Christian EriksenO0.58%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Mbeumo38%––✗ 0Amad Diallo37%––DNPBruno Fernandes37%––✗ 0Matheus Cunha35%––✗ 0Casemiro28%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingHull City lead 1-02–0 on goals