Real Sociedad vs Valencia
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Real Sociedad–
Valencia–3:00 PM ETMestalla Stadium📺 ESPN Deportes · ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.5–1.3
ValenciaHOME40%1.5proj+153fair—mkt—Draw28%—proj+260fair—mkt—
Real SociedadAWAY33%1.3proj+206fair—mkt—O2.5 52%BTTS 57%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Orri Óskarsson1+ Goals40%––Job Ochieng1+ Goals27%––Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Goals27%––Luka Sucic1+ Goals25%––Ander Barrenetxea1+ Goals17%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Orri Óskarsson1+ Shots91%––Luka Sucic1+ Shots87%––Arnaut Danjuma1+ Shots87%––Job Ochieng1+ Shots86%––Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Shots85%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Orri Óskarsson1+ Shots on Target73%––Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Shots on Target59%––Job Ochieng1+ Shots on Target54%––Arnaut Danjuma1+ Shots on Target54%––Luka Sucic1+ Shots on Target49%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Job OchiengO0.528%––Sergio GómezO0.519%––Mikel OyarzabalO0.517%––Carlos SolerO0.516%––Beñat TurrientesO0.513%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Job Ochieng48%––Orri Óskarsson44%––Mikel Oyarzabal40%––Luka Sucic31%––Sergio Gómez27%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsValencia lead 2-01 draw6–4 on goals