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La Liga Match Board — Sunday, September 20, 2026

Every La Liga match on Sunday, September 20, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · how the model graded
2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 73 of 77 on ML, 56 of 77 on Over 2.5, 73 of 77 on BTTS.

Sunday, September 20

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 1–0
Proj1.0–0.6
Match page →
GETGetafeHOME✓44%1.0proj+128fair+112mkt-3.4%
Draw37%—proj+173fair+229mktModel lean+6.2%
MCFMálagaAWAY20%0.6proj+412fair+349mkt-2.7%
O2.5 21% · mkt 38% ✓BTTS 29% · mkt 44% ✓1H O1.5 16% · mkt 24% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 2–1
Proj1.6–1.6
Match page →
ATMAtlético MadridHOME37%1.6proj+173fair+265mktModel lean+9.3%
Draw26%—proj+291fair+294mkt+0.2%
RMAReal MadridAWAY✗38%1.6proj+165fair+111mkt-9.6%
O2.5 62% ✓BTTS 64% · mkt 65% ✓1H O1.5 42% · mkt 43% ✓
ESPN2 · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 1–1
Proj1.4–1.3
Match page →
DEPDeportivoHOME✗39%1.4proj+157fair+274mktModel lean+12.2%
Draw28%—proj+259fair+290mkt+2.2%
BETReal BetisAWAY33%1.3proj+201fair+111mkt-14.2%
O2.5 52% · mkt 56% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 60% ✓1H O1.5 35% · mkt 38% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 3–1
Proj2.3–1.2
Match page →
VILVillarrealHOME✓60%2.3proj-147fair-161mkt-2.1%
Draw21%—proj+370fair+384mkt+0.6%
LEVLevanteAWAY19%1.2proj+421fair+455mkt+1.2%
O2.5 68% ✓BTTS 65% · mkt 62% ✓1H O1.5 47% · mkt 44% ✗
ESPN+
FT · 2–3
Proj1.5–1.2
Match page →
VALValenciaHOME✗43%1.5proj+132fair+194mktModel lean+9.0%
Draw28%—proj+261fair+250mkt-0.9%
RSOReal SociedadAWAY29%1.2proj+242fair+170mkt-7.8%
O2.5 51% · mkt 49% ✓BTTS 56% · mkt 56% ✓1H O1.5 35% · mkt 32% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).