Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Real Madrid–
Atlético–10:15 AM ETRiyadh Air Metropolitano📺 ESPN2 · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
10:15 AM ET
Proj1.4–1.7
Atlético MadridHOME31%1.4proj+224fair—mkt—Draw26%—proj+288fair—mkt—
Real MadridAWAY43%1.7proj+130fair—mkt—O2.5 60%BTTS 63%
ESPN2 · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Goals68%––Vinícius Júnior1+ Goals45%––Jude Bellingham1+ Goals37%––Gonzalo García1+ Goals31%––
Kylian Mbappé2+ Goals31%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots100%––Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots99%––Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots98%––Kylian Mbappé3+ Shots96%––Jude Bellingham1+ Shots94%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots on Target96%––Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots on Target82%––Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots on Target80%––Jude Bellingham1+ Shots on Target71%––Rodrygo1+ Shots on Target60%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Arda GülerO0.531%––Vinícius JúniorO0.530%––Jude BellinghamO0.527%––Federico ValverdeO0.523%––Kylian MbappéO0.522%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé75%––Vinícius Júnior62%––Jude Bellingham54%––Arda Güler43%––Gonzalo García40%––
The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 5 meetingsLevel at 2 apiece1 draw8–10 on goals