Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Espanyol–
Rayo–1:00 PM ETEstadio de Vallecas📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Tuesday, September 15, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
1:00 PM ET
Proj1.3–1.2
Rayo VallecanoHOME39%1.3proj+158fair+101mkt-10.8%Draw30%—proj+236fair+274mkt+3.0%
EspanyolAWAY31%1.2proj+218fair+323mktModel lean+7.8%O2.5 45%BTTS 51%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sergio Camello1+ Goals41%––
Roberto Fernández1+ Goals38%––
Javier Puado1+ Goals30%––
Cala1+ Goals23%––
Tyrhys Dolan1+ Goals21%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Javier Puado1+ Shots92%––
Roberto Fernández1+ Shots90%––
Sergio Camello1+ Shots86%––
Cala1+ Shots86%––
Bryan Zaragoza1+ Shots83%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Javier Puado1+ Shots on Target65%––
Sergio Camello1+ Shots on Target65%––
Cala1+ Shots on Target58%––
Roberto Fernández1+ Shots on Target56%––
Bryan Zaragoza1+ Shots on Target49%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Javi HernandezO0.531%––
Unai LópezO0.523%––
Sergio CamelloO0.513%––
Edu ExpósitoO0.513%––
Javier PuadoO0.513%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sergio Camello49%––
Roberto Fernández43%––
Javier Puado39%––
Javi Hernandez35%––
Cala29%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsEspanyol lead 2-05–0 on goals