MatchWiz

Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

OSAOsasunaATMAtlético1:00 PM ETRiyadh Air Metropolitano📺 ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, September 16, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
1:00 PM ET
Proj1.91.1
ATMAtlético MadridHOME57%1.9proj-130fair-184mkt-8.3%
Draw24%proj+318fair+379mkt+3.0%
OSAOsasunaAWAY20%1.1proj+411fair+594mktModel lean+5.2%
O2.5 58%BTTS 57%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

La Liga table
Away
OSAOsasuna8th7 pts2-1-1LDWWL
Home
ATMAtlético Madrid6th7 pts2-1-1LWDWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ante Budimir1+ Goals43%
Ademola Lookman1+ Goals29%
Nico González1+ Goals28%
Raúl García1+ Goals27%
Alexander Sørloth1+ Goals26%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ante Budimir1+ Shots96%
Raúl García1+ Shots92%
Antoine Griezmann1+ Shots91%
Víctor Muñoz1+ Shots89%
Nico González1+ Shots88%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ante Budimir1+ Shots on Target76%
Raúl García1+ Shots on Target68%
Antoine Griezmann1+ Shots on Target66%
Nico González1+ Shots on Target60%
Víctor Muñoz1+ Shots on Target56%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Antoine GriezmannO0.525%
Pablo BarriosO0.517%
Lee Kang-InO0.517%
Raúl GarcíaO0.516%
Giuliano SimeoneO0.516%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ante Budimir45%
Antoine Griezmann42%
Raúl García39%
Ademola Lookman33%
Nico González33%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
Atlético Madrid lead 3-143 on goals