Valencia vs Alavés
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Valencia–
Alavés–2:00 PM ETMendizorrotza📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Tuesday, September 15, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
2:00 PM ET
Proj1.9–0.6
AlavésHOME67%1.9proj-205fair+135mktModel lean+24.7%Draw22%—proj+348fair+233mkt-7.7%
ValenciaAWAY10%0.6proj+857fair+265mkt-17.0%O2.5 47%BTTS 41%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Goals53%––Toni Martínez1+ Goals23%––Lucas Boyé2+ Goals18%––Pablo Ibáñez1+ Goals18%––Carlos Vicente1+ Goals16%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Toni Martínez1+ Shots94%––Lucas Boyé1+ Shots94%––Pablo Ibáñez1+ Shots80%––Victor Parada1+ Shots79%––Abde Rebbach1+ Shots78%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Shots on Target73%––Toni Martínez1+ Shots on Target53%––Abde Rebbach1+ Shots on Target45%––Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target44%––Victor Parada1+ Shots on Target41%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ángel PérezO0.533%––Mariano DíazO0.513%––Toni MartínezO0.511%––Victor ParadaO0.510%––Antonio SiveraO0.510%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé57%––Ángel Pérez34%––Toni Martínez31%––Mariano Díaz26%––Pablo Ibáñez23%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsAlavés lead 1-01 draw1–0 on goals