MatchWiz

Real Betis vs Villarreal

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

BETBetisVILVillarreal3:00 PM ETEstadio de la Cerámica📺 ESPN+

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Monday, September 14, 2026
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.61.2
VILVillarrealHOME46%1.6proj+117fair-100mkt-4.0%
Draw27%proj+269fair+302mkt+2.2%
BETReal BetisAWAY27%1.2proj+273fair+300mkt+1.8%
O2.5 52% · mkt 59%BTTS 56%
ESPN+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

La Liga table
Away
BETReal Betis4th9 pts3-0-1WWWLW
Home
VILVillarreal16th2 pts0-2-2LDDLL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerOursMktPrice
Aitor Ruibal1+ Goals30%
Nicolas Pépé1+ Goals27%
Abde Ezzalzouli1+ Goals26%
Georges Mikautadze1+ Goals26%
Gerard Moreno1+ Goals26%
PlayerOursMktPrice
Antony1+ Shots97%
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots92%
Abde Ezzalzouli1+ Shots92%
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots90%
Aitor Ruibal1+ Shots89%

Shots on Target

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PlayerOursMktPrice
Antony1+ Shots on Target71%
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots on Target63%
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots on Target62%
Aitor Ruibal1+ Shots on Target61%
Abde Ezzalzouli1+ Shots on Target61%
PlayerOursMktPrice
Marc RocaO0.519%
Abde EzzalzouliO0.518%
Georges MikautadzeO0.517%
Ayoze PérezO0.516%
Cucho HernándezO0.514%

Score or Assist

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PlayerOursMktPrice
Abde Ezzalzouli39%
Georges Mikautadze39%
Aitor Ruibal37%
Nicolas Pépé33%
Cucho Hernández32%

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
Villarreal lead 1-01 draw43 on goals